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| Welcome to the Triple Crown Contenter Watch List. Check here from now until the Belmont Stakes on June 10th to get the latest updated information and commentaries on all the Triple Crown contenders. | ||
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 |  |  |  |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BIG BROWN by Boundary |
7-2 | 106 | IEAH Stables and Pompa R. Dutrow, Jr. K. Desormeaux |
Florida Derby 3/29 1st by 5 106 |
Kentucky Derby 1 1/4m Churchill Downs 5/3 |
JP: Coming to CD earlier than first planned; must mean feet are in good shape. MW: Inexperience may not matter considering how fast and talented he is. |
| COLONEL JOHN by Tiznow |
5-1 | 95 | WinStar Farm E. Harty G. Gomez |
Santa Anita Derby 4/5 1st by 1/2 95 |
Kentucky Derby 1 1/4m Churchill Downs 5/3 |
JP: Should love 1 1/4 miles, and finished strong winter at SA with super work Sunday. MW: If he can improve his Beyers going from synthetic to dirt, he's a serious threat to win. |
| PYRO by Pulpit |
6-1 | 105 | Winchell Thoroughbreds S. Asumussen S. Bridgmohan |
Blue Grass 4/12 10th by by 11 1/2 73 |
Kentucky Derby 1 1/4m Churchill Downs 5/3 |
JP: Threw in a stinker in Blue Grass. Supporters have to hope Polytrack was the reason. MW: The game has changed, but few have won the Derby off bad losses, like his at Kee. |
| GAYEGO by Gilded Time |
15-1 | 103 | Cubanacan Stables P. Lobo M. Smith |
Arkansas Derby 4/12 1st by 3/4 103 |
Kentucky Derby 1 1/4m Churchill Downs 5/3 |
JP: Another California-based horse who ran well moving from synthetic to Oaklawn dirt. MW: Pressed a fast Ark. Derby pace and still finished strongly; outrunning his pedigree. |
| TALE OF EKATI by Tale of the Cat |
15-1 | 95s | Charles Fipke B. Tagg E. Coa |
Wood Memorial 4/5 1st by 1/2 93 |
Kentucky Derby 1 1/4m Churchill Downs 5/3 |
JP: With Prado opting for Adriano, mount came open; Coa moved to him from Big Truck. MW: Prado taking Lane's End winner over the Wood and Blue Grass winners says a lot. |
| Z FORTUNE by Siphon (BRZ) |
15-1 | 102 | Zayat Stables S. Asmussen R. Albarado |
Arkansas Derby 4/12 2nd by 3/4 102 |
Kentucky Derby 1 1/4m Churchill Downs 5/3 |
JP: Showed his Rebel was too bad to be true with excellent runner-up effort in Ark. Derby. MW: Considering the ground he lost, that was a fine performance, his best by far to date. |
| COURT VISION by Gulch |
20-1 | 90 | WinStar Farm and IEAH St. W. Mott G. Gomez |
Wood Memorial 4/5 3rd by 1 3/4 90 |
Kentucky Derby 1 1/4m Churchill Downs 5/3 |
JP: The way hot pace unfolded in Wood, no excuse for him not to finish better and win. MW: Winning? He couldn't even get past a softened up War Pass; too slow right now. |
| COWBOY CAL by Giant's Causeway |
20-1 | 95t | Stonerside Stable T. Pletcher J. Velazquez |
Blue Grass 4/12 2nd by a neck 92 |
Kentucky Derby 1 1/4m Churchill Downs 5/3 |
JP: Made a nice transition from turf to Polytrack, but he's still a question mark on dirt. MW: Ran just as well as Monba in Blue Grass, but who knows what that means for Derby? |
| MONBA by Maria's Mon |
20-1 | 92 | Starlight St, Lucarelli, & Saylor T. Pletcher R. Dominguez |
Blue Grass 4/12 1st by a neck 92 |
Kentucky Derby 1 1/4m Churchill Downs 5/3 |
JP: Bounced back from Fountain of Youth; one of few in Derby who has won at Churchill. MW: Unless Polytrack really muted his Beyer, he must get faster quick to contend in Derby. |
| RECAPTURETHEGLORY by cherokee Run |
20-1 | 102 | R. Lamarque & L. Roussel 3rd L. Roussel 3rd E. Baird |
Illinois Derby 4/5 1st by 4 102 |
Kentucky Derby 1 1/4m Churchill Downs 5/3 |
JP: Defection of speedy War Pass absolutely helps this front-runner's cause; intriguing. MW: I agree. Right now, the early pace in this Derby doesn't look as crazy-fast as usual. |
| BEHINDATTHEBAR by Forest Wildcat |
30-1 | 99 | Padua Stables T. Pletcher Undecided |
Lexington 4/19 1st by 1 99 |
Kentucky Derby 1 1/4m Churchill Downs 5/3 |
JP: Prefers synthetic, and has ugly way of going, but owner gets giddy over being in Derby. MW: Strong impression is the owner and trainer don't agree on whether he's Derby caliber. |
| BOB BLACK JACK by Stormy Jack |
30-1 | 109s | J. Harmon & T. Kasparoff J. Kasparoff D. Flores |
Santa Anita Derby 4/5 2nd by 1/2 94 |
Kentucky Derby 1 1/4m Churchill Downs 5/3 |
JP: Wonder if big winter has taken its toll; wasn't crazy about his work Monday at SA. MW: Distance is an issue, but I'm interested seeing him get off synthetic tracks onto dirt. |
| VISIONAIRE by Grand Slam |
30-1 | 98 | Kinsman Stable, Smith and Tabor M. Matz J. Lezcano |
Blue Grass 4/12 5th by 6 1/4 82 |
Kentucky Derby 1 1/4m Churchill Downs 5/3 |
JP: Was far back early in Blue Grass, and was only horse to make up any ground late. MW: That might be an indictment of the Blue Grass, as there was no speed bias at Kee. |
| ADRIANO by A.P. Indy |
40-1 | 92 | Courtland Farms H. G. Motion E. Prado |
Lane's End 3/22 1st by 2 1/2 92 |
Kentucky Derby 1 1/4m Churchill Downs 5/3 |
JP: Big endorsement that Hall of Fame jockey Prado chose him over Monba, Tale of Ekati. MW: Maybe instead of Adriano wowing Prado, it was more like Monba, Tale of Ekati didn't. |
| COOL COAL MAN by Mineshaft |
40-1 | 98 | Robert La Penta N. Zito J. Leparoux |
Blue Grass 4/12 9th by 10 3/4 74 |
Kentucky Derby 1 1/4m Churchill Downs 5/3 |
JP: With exception of Monba, who had an excuse, Ftn of Youth was a negative key race. MW: I disagree. First two in Ftn of Youth had excuses next time, Adriano won Lane's End. |
| DENIS OF CORK by Harlan's Holiday |
40-1 | 96 | Mr. and Mrs. Wm. Warren, Jr. D. Carroll C. Borel |
Illinois Derby 4/5 5th by 8 1/2 88 |
Kentucky Derby 1 1/4m Churchill Downs 5/3 |
JP: Been mismanaged, but top-class on his best day; looks like he might get in after all. MW: Not yet sure he's top-class even on his best, but belongs here more than some others. |
| EIGHT BELLES by Unbridled's Song |
40-1 | 100 | Fox Hill Farms J. L. Jones Undecided |
Fantasy 4/6 1st by 3/4 99 |
Ky. Oaks or Derby 1 1/4m Churchill Downs 5/2 or 5/3 |
JP: Derby earnings rule needs to be re-written so that fillies-only races do not count. MW: Why stop there? Shouldn't 3yo graded earnings count more than 2yo earnings? |
| PROUD SPELL by Proud Citizen |
40-1 | 99 | Brereton C. Jones J. L. Jones G. Seaz |
Ashland 4/5 3rd by 2 3/4 83 |
Ky. Oaks or Derby 1 1/4m Churchill Downs 5/2 or 5/3 |
JP: Jones says her chances of running in Derby is only 15%; good, she can win Oaks. MW: A very nice filly, but really doesn't belong in a spot like this; betting she runs in Oaks. |
| SMOOTH AIR by Smooth Jazz |
40-1 | 98 | Mount Joy Stables Inc. B. Stutts, Jr. M. Cruz |
Florida Derby 3/29 2nd by 5 98 |
Kentucky Derby 1 1/4m Churchill Downs 5/3 |
JP: Those who got him in either Pool 1 or 2 of Future Wager are hoping to strike it rich. MW: His odds then were silly, but that alone doesn't make him a more effective performer. |
| BIG TRUCK by Hook and Ladder |
50-1 | 93 | Eric Fein B. Tagg J. Castellano |
Blue Grass 4/12 11th by 11 3/4 73 |
Kentucky Derby 1 1/4m Churchill Downs 5/3 |
JP: When horses run bad on Polytrack, it's a built-in excuse; never ran a jump on the stuff. MW: The thing with him is, it was debatable how good he really was before the Blue Grass. |
| Z HUMOR by Distorted Humor |
50-1 | 97 | Zayat Stables W. Mott R. Douglas |
Illinois Derby 4/5 3rd by 4 3/4 94 |
Kentucky Derby 1 1/4m Churchill Downs 5/3 |
JP: Has the money to get in, but showed again in Ill. Derby he's a cut below the best. MW: That said, his performance at Hawthorne was his best in three starts so far this year. |
| ANAK NAKAL by victory Gallop |
60-1 | 87 | Four Roses Thorougbreds N. Zito R. Bejarano |
Wood Memorial 4/5 5th by 3 1/2 87 |
Kentucky Derby 1 1/4m Churchill Downs 5/3 |
JP: Has underachieved this year, but like many others, has enough cash to run, so he will. MW: Maybe he hasn't underachieved this year. His big win last year was of dubious quality. |
| HALO NAJIB by Halo's Image |
60-1 | 90s | Zayat Stables D. Romans Undecided |
Blue Grass 4/12 7th by 8 1/4 78 |
Kentucky Derby 1 1/4m Churchill Downs 5/3 |
JP: Best races have been on synthetic surfaces, so that doesn't explain his dull Blue Grass. MW: He is in the top 25 of current possibles for the Derby. That's only reason why he's here. |
| INDIAN SUN by Indian Charlie |
60-1 | 92 | Cecil Peacock D. Hendricks A. Solis |
Arkansas Derby 4/15 4th by 6 1/2 92 |
Kentucky Derby 1 1/4m Churchill Downs 5/3 |
JP: A cut below best, but on Derby Watch because of where he stands on earnings list. MW: Certainly not better than El Gato Malo, but earnings rule doesn't account for talent. |
| TOMCITO by Street Cry (IRE) |
60-1 | 92 | Jet Set Racing Stable D. Zanelli, Jr. J. Chavez |
Lexington 4/19 6th by 3 3/4 92 |
Kentucky Derby 1 1/4m Churchill Downs 5/3 |
JP: Ran in Lexington in order to try and pick up more graded cash, but was no threat. MW: And because he didn't run well enough, he'll need lots of help to get into the Derby. |